Typhon Chaba is now 200 KM South of Japan and May Cause
Trouble
Japan (HDW) August 29, 2004 - TYPHOON
CHABA, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215 NM
SOUTH OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON CURRENT INTENSITY
ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102
KNOTS.
Typhoon Chaba IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD AND ACCELERATE IN
RESPONSE TO A LONGWAVE TROUGH ENTERING THE SEA OF JAPAN.
INTERATION WITH THIS TROUGH WILL TRANSITION Typhoon Chaba INTO A BARO-
CLINIC SYSTEM. THIS FORECAST
IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS.
Typhoon Chaba IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN EARLY IN THE FORECAST
PERIOD AS RADIAL OUTFLOW DIMINISHES, AND THE SYSTEM APPROACHES LAND.
FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS Typhoon Chaba INTERACTS WITH
THE LONGWAVE TROUGH AND BEGINS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION.